Friday, April 29, 2005

Changing faces of Mumbai

2:55 PM 0 Comments
Mumbai, the economic capital of India. Also, you will find the cultural varieties here, because the people here are from across India and the world. The population of Mumbai is more than 1 crore and they controlled by only 40,000 police men. Very amazing balance combination! The place is very famous for two things. One is its life line service called "local train" and the another one is its own "dabbawallas", they never failed on their duty and the accuracy. Also, it is very famous for "Red-street", the prostitute's place. This is the outer face of the city right now.
Over the past ten years, very big revolution happened in this city. Very first time, peoples of some political party didn't like to enter the outsiders to the city, and they were harassing the peoples who were working overhere. Now, their concepts has changed. Also, that times, ladies can't walk alone at night. After the rise of dance bars and the use of prostitutes, ladies can walk without fear. Now this security is going to cut down.
As the ministry decided to close dance-bars, people must have to scare about their security. As per the survey conducted recently by a foreign consultant, Mumbai has the second place in the non-safe city for ladies. Out of records, every hour at least 3 lady has been raping in each place. This is an un-official record. If the government is closing this dance-bars, the rate will increase. Even if these systems are available, daily something like same scenario is happening here.
So, what would have to change. The law or the life-style. Nothing, if the law changes, life-style will never changes because, the people in here themselves opted to live in western style. Simply if anybody watching this city life, the media is exposing the life structure of the people who have money. So, the normal people, who are thiking about or trying to reach immediately to that level. This is what happening here. For example, mobile phones: it will find in everybodies pocket, especially in students'. By close watching, the students, those who are in a "dream life" doesn't have the capacity to accommodate at their home. Such kind of students will turn to find the money for their own purposes and there, the criminalism starts.
How can it prevent? So far, there is no solutions, unless provided by God. This city and it's culture will go beyond and will become in a type of madness. We can't do anything.

Monday, April 11, 2005

NEO-ECONOMICS

3:14 PM 0 Comments
"SAVING IS SIN, SPENDING IS VIRTUE"
An article by an Indian Economist (bit old but still true)

Japanese save a lot. They do not spend much.
Also Japan exports far more than it imports.

Has an annual trade surplus of over $100 billions.

Yet Japanese economy is considered weak, even collapsing.

Americans spend, save little. Also US imports more than
it exports, and has an annual trade deficit of over
$400 billion. Yet, the American economy is considered

strong and trusted to get stronger.

But where from do Americans get money to spend?

They borrow from Japan, China and even India.
Virtually others save for the US to spend. Global
savings are mostly invested in US, in dollars.

India itself keeps its foreign currency assets of
over $130 billions in US securities. China has sunk
over $300-400 billion in US securities.
Japan's stakes in US securities is in trillions.

Result:
The US has taken over $15 trillion from the world.

So, as the world saves for the US, Americans spend
freely. Today, to keep the US consumption going, that
is for the US economy to work, other countries have
to remit $120 billion every quarter, which is $2
billion a day, to the US! Otherwise the US economy
would go for a six.

So will the global economy. The result will be no
different if US consumers begin consuming less.

A Chinese economist asked a neat question. Who has
invested more, US in China, or China in US? The US
has invested in China less than half of what China has

invested in US.
The same is the case with India. We have invested in US
over $130 billion. But the US has invested less than $20
billion in India.

Why the world is after US?
The secret lies in the American spending, that they
hardly save. In fact they use their credit cards to
spend their future income.

That the US spends is what makes it attractive to
export to the US. So US imports more than what it
exports year after year.

The result:
The world is dependent on US consumption for its
growth. By its deepening culture of consumption, the
US has habituated the world to feed on US
consumption. But as the US needs money to finance its
consumption, the world provides the money. It's like a
shopkeeper providing the money to a customer so that
the customer keeps buying from the shop. If the
customer will not buy, the shop won't have business,
unless the shopkeeper funds him. The US is like the
lucky customer. And the world is like the helpless
shopkeeper financier.

Who is America's biggest shopkeeper financier?

Japan of course. Yet it's Japan which is regarded as
weak. Modern economists complain that Japanese do not
spend, so they do not grow. To force the Japanese to
spend, the Japanese government exerted it self,
reduced the savings rates, even charged the savers.
Even then the Japanese did not spend (habits don't
change, even with taxes, do they?). Their traditional
postal savings alone is over $1.2 trillions, about
three times the Indian GDP. Thus, savings, far from
being the strength of Japan, has become its pain.

Hence, what is the lesson?

That is, a nation cannot grow unless the people spend,
not save. Not just spend, but borrow and spend.

Dr. Jagdish Bhagwati, the famous Indian-born economist in
the US, told Manmohan Singh that Indians wastefully
save. Ask them to spend, on imported cars and,
seriously, even on cosmetics! This will put India on
a growth curve.

"Saving is sin, and spending is virtue."
Before you
follow this neo economics, get some fools to save so
that you can borrow from them and spend.

This is what US has successfully done in last few decades.

Courtesy: Joji Scaria

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